The models collectively warn that Bitcoin remains trapped in a structural daily downtrend, trading significantly below its 20-day and 50-day SMAs with a rejection at the $64,168 resistance zone. Fading 4h momentum and a contracting MACD histogram suggest a retest of the $61,895 value area low, potentially exacerbated by hawkish FOMC repricing following strong NFP data. Unique bearish pressures include Bitwise’s $48,000 price target and the largest downward mining difficulty adjustment in 11 cycles, which could trigger a breakdown toward the $61,000 support level.