VRT

NYSEMIXED SIGNALS
All Horizons · Multi-timeframe synthesis3 Models · Analysis Snapshot: Feb 6, 2026, 6:41 AM · Valid for ~48h
CompletedRe-run
MIXED SIGNALS
3 models· Split decision*
2 Long1 Short
Key Disagreements
  • Split opinion: 2 model(s) LONG vs 1 model(s) SHORT
  • Claude-Haiku-4.5(54% LONG): "Vertiv is positioned at a critical inflection point within the AI infrastructure supercycle. Recent earnings beats (Q3 2025: +25.25% EPS surprise, Q2 2025: +16.9% surprise) demonstrate consistent execution and demand for liquid cooling/thermal management solutions. With 94% of analysts rating the stock as Buy/Strong Buy, median price target of $200 (+12.6% upside), and AI infrastructure spending projected to reach $1.4T by 2030, VRT is a core holding in this secular growth trend. The stock currently trades 12.2% below its 52-week high of $202.45, offering a lower-risk entry after recent consolidation."
  • Gemini-3-Flash(34% LONG): "Balanced: bull (72%) and bear (72%) are closely matched (edge score: 0%)"
BULL (2)
BEAR (1)
0%0%
Bull Case(2 models)
Claude-Haiku-4.50%

Vertiv is positioned at a critical inflection point within the AI infrastructure supercycle. Recent earnings beats (Q3 2025: +25.25% EPS surprise, Q2 2025: +16.9% surprise) demonstrate consistent execution and demand for liquid cooling/thermal management solutions. With 94% of analysts rating the stock as Buy/Strong Buy, median price target of $200 (+12.6% upside), and AI infrastructure spending projected to reach $1.4T by 2030, VRT is a core holding in this secular growth trend. The stock currently trades 12.2% below its 52-week high of $202.45, offering a lower-risk entry after recent consolidation.

Gemini-3-Flash0%

Vertiv is a primary beneficiary of the secular AI infrastructure build-out, evidenced by its A+ growth grade and consistent earnings surprises (25.25% surprise in Oct 2025). The stock is currently sta

Bear Case(1 model)
GPT-4o0%

V RT is facing significant technical and valuation challenges. The stock is currently trading below both its 20 day and 50 day moving averages, withabearishRSIbelow50, suggesting negative momentum. Valuation metrics are concerning, as the stock's Enterprise Value to EB IT DAis nearly triple the sector average, indicatingitisovervalued. Themarketregimeissideways, with no strong direction albias, but the elevated valuation and bearish technical indicators suggest potential downside. The upcoming earnings report could further pressure the stock if results do not meet high expectations.

What Would Create an Edge
  • Close below support at $172.35 on elevated volume, or if Feb 11 earnings guidance indicates material slowdown in liquid cooling orders/capacity scaling. Additionally, if analyst downgrades accelerate beyond Wolfe's Dec 2025 call or if AI infrastructure spending forecasts are revised lower.
  • Close above $190 would invalidate the short thesis.
Claude Haiku 4.5FastMOSTLY ALIGNED
Analysis Outcome
LONGLEANING
2.28R·54% confidence
Entry
$177.75
Target
$200.00
Stop
$168.00

Vertiv is positioned at a critical inflection point within the AI infrastructure supercycle. Recent earnings beats (Q3 2025: +25.25% EPS surprise, Q2 2025: +16.9% surprise) demonstrate consistent execution and demand for liquid cooling/thermal management solutions. With 94% of analysts rating the stock as Buy/Strong Buy, median price target of $200 (+12.6% upside), and AI infrastructure spending projected to reach $1.4T by 2030, VRT is a core holding in this secular growth trend. The stock currently trades 12.2% below its 52-week high of $202.45, offering a lower-risk entry after recent consolidation.

Across timeframes
DAY
LONG
72% · leaning
SWING
LONG
72% · decided
POSITION
BALANCED
0% · contested
Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BULL
Bull 72%Δ 4%Bear 68%
Bull Case

VRT demonstrates exceptional earnings momentum with two consecutive quarters of significant EPS beats (+25.25% in Q3, +16.9% in Q2), signaling strong operational execution and underestimated demand in the AI/data center infrastructure cycle. The company sits at critical support ($172.35) with RSI at 41.23 (oversold but not crashed), creating a high-probability mean-reversion bounce setup toward resistance at $200.39. Analyst consensus is "Strong Buy" (25 analysts) driven by A+ growth fundamentals from the structural AI capex boom, where Vertiv is a critical chokepoint provider for power, thermal, and IT infrastructure—a multi-year secular tailwind, not a cyclical upturn.

Bear Case

VRT exhibits severe technical deterioration with RSI at 41.23 and falling, price trading 5.1% below both SMA20 and SMA50, and a strong bearish signal on the 30-min chart. Critically, news sentiment explicitly rates the valuation as an "F" with extreme multiples—EV/EBITDA at 30.81 and Price-to-Cash Flow at 36.85 significantly above sector averages—indicating the stock is "rich" or overbought at current levels. Quantitative rating systems have shifted to "Hold," momentum is deteriorating with flat MACD and falling RSI, and the sideways market regime provides no support for rallies. Recent earnings beats are already fully priced in, leaving no near-term catalyst to justify stretched valuations.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BULL case won (72% vs 68%).

1m 20s92 tools$$
Gemini 3 FlashFastMIXED
Analysis Outcome
LONG
2.62R·34% confidence
Entry
$177.75
Target
$202.00
Stop
$168.50

Balanced: bull (72%) and bear (72%) are closely matched (edge score: 0%)

Across timeframes
DAY
BALANCED
0% · contested
SWING
BALANCED
0% · contested
POSITION
LONG
75% · leaning
Bull/Bear CompetitionBALANCED
Bull 72%Δ 0%Bear 72%
Bull Case

Vertiv Holdings (VRT) is currently trading near its Point of Control (POC) at $174.38, a high-volume node that historically acts as a strong base for price reversals. Despite recent consolidation, the company maintains an A+ Growth grade fueled by the secular demand for AI data center infrastructure, particularly in liquid cooling and power management. With recent earnings showing a massive 25.25% EPS surprise and Wall Street maintaining a 'Strong Buy' consensus, the current dip toward support at $172.35 offers a high-probability entry for a mean-reversion trade toward the $190+ resistance levels.

Bear Case

VRT is exhibiting clear technical deterioration with a 'strong bearish' signal, as the SMA20 has crossed below the SMA50 and the RSI is falling below 50. The stock is currently trading under its major moving averages, and volume is increasing on down days (1.25x average), suggesting aggressive distribution. Fundamental valuation is extremely stretched with an EV/EBITDA nearly triple the sector average, leaving the stock vulnerable to a significant mean-reversion move toward the $164 support level.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition CONTESTED: BULL case (72%) vs BEAR case (72%) - confidence delta (0%) below threshold. Trade skipped due to insufficient conviction.

41s81 tools$
GPT-4oFastALIGNED
Analysis Outcome
SHORT
0.74R·95% confidence
Entry
$177.75
Target
$161.00
Stop
$200.40

VertivHoldingsCo. V RT benefits from strong revenue growth and sector tailwinds, particularly in the datacenter infrastructure industry driven by A I demand. Despitevaluationconcerns, the company maintains an A growth grade, indicating robust growth prospects. The absence of immediate negative catalysts can also be seen as a stabilizing factor for its stock price.

Across timeframes
DAY
SHORT
75% · decided
SWING
SHORT
75% · decided
POSITION
SHORT
75% · decided
Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BEAR
Bear 75%Δ 10%Bull 65%
Bear Case

V RT's technical indicators are showing a strong bearish signal with the RSI below 50 and the SMA 20 below the SMA 50, indicating a potential further price decline. Thestockpriceis11. 3 below the resistance level of 200. 395, and the current valuation is considered overheated with an Enterprise Value to EB IT DA significantly higher than the sector average. Despitegrowthprospects, the stock's valuation grade is an F, suggesting it is currently overpriced, whichmayleadtoacorrection.

Bull Case

VR Th as demonstrated a strong earnings performance in the recent past, with a significant EPS surprise of 25. 25 on its last earnings report. Despite the current sideways market regime, the stock is trading near a high volume node at 174. 38, indicating potential support and accumulation at this level. The average trading volume is also above the typical level, suggesting increased interest and potential for a breakout, especially if the market conditions shift favorably.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BEAR case won (75% vs 65%).

41s45 tools$
VRT Analysis | TradeHorde