MARA

NASDAQBEARISH
Swing · Multi-day confirmation1 Model · Analysis Snapshot: Feb 20, 2026, 9:55 PM · Valid for ~12h
CompletedRe-run
BEARISH
Analysis by GPT-4o· 13% edge — bear case stronger
Stop$8.47
Entry$7.96
Target$7.12
LowConditionalHigh
BEAR (1)
BULL (0)
0%0%
Bear Case(1 model)
GPT-4o0%

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) faces several bearish factors, making it a strong short candidate. The stock is trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum. Recent news highlights executive stock sales and multiple analyst downgrades, reflecting deteriorating confidence in the stock. The broader cryptocurrency market is under pressure, with Bitcoin hitting new lows, which adversely affects MARA's prospects. High short interest further indicates bearish sentiment among investors.

Bull Case(1 model)
GPT-4o0%

Despite recent bearish sentiment, Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) could still see a bullish scenario if the cryptocurrency market rebounds significantly. A recovery in Bitcoin prices could drive sentiment higher, benefiting MARA due to its correlation with crypto trends. Additionally, if the company announces positive operational developments or strategic partnerships, it could bolster investor confidence and counteract recent downgrades.

What Would Invalidate
  • If MARA closes above $8.50, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
GPT-4oFast
Analysis Outcome
SHORT
1.65R·78% confidence
Entry
$7.96
Target
$7.12
Stop
$8.47

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) faces several bearish factors, making it a strong short candidate. The stock is trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum. Recent news highlights executive stock sales and multiple analyst downgrades, reflecting deteriorating confidence in the stock. The broader cryptocurrency market is under pressure, with Bitcoin hitting new lows, which adversely affects MARA's prospects. High short interest further indicates bearish sentiment among investors.

Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BEAR
Bear 78%Δ 13%Bull 65%
Bear Case

Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) faces several bearish factors, making it a strong short candidate. The stock is trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating bearish technical momentum. Recent news highlights executive stock sales and multiple analyst downgrades, reflecting deteriorating confidence in the stock. The broader cryptocurrency market is under pressure, with Bitcoin hitting new lows, which adversely affects MARA's prospects. High short interest further indicates bearish sentiment among investors.

Bull Case

MARA Holdings Inc. is positioned as a leading player in the digital asset and block chain sector, benefiting from its status as one of the largest publicly traded bitcoin miners. The company's strategic focus on sustainable energy solutions and its significant holdings of bitcoin provide a strong foundation for potential upside, especially if the broader crypto currency market stabilizes or recovers. Additionally, MARA's low P E ratio of 3.10 suggests under valuation, making it an attractive buy for investors seeking exposure to the crypto sector's potential growth.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BEAR case won (78% vs 65%).

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MARA Analysis | TradeHorde