BTC could extend its multi-day decline: price is below the 4-hour moving averages, momentum remains negative on the 4-hour and daily charts, and the broader structure is weak. A failed reclaim of resistance near $81,717 or rejection around $82,286 could leave price vulnerable to a break of the $81,034 support shelf, opening a path toward the $79,600 low-volume area and, if weakness persists, daily support near $79,243. Depressed volume and the absence of a fresh bullish catalyst may favor continued drift lower, while a defensive macro backdrop is a supporting but uncertain factor because BTC’s correlation to US equities is unverified. Conviction remains limited: support has not yet broken, momentum indicators are not uniformly deteriorating, and the bearish regime lean is low-confidence and derived from a US-equity context.