MSTR could retreat if its sharp rebound fails near the $157.2–$157.5 resistance zone. The move has come on depressed volume, with short-term RSI around 75 in several readings, and the daily MACD has not confirmed the 4-hour momentum improvement; these factors support an exhaustion or mean-reversion case, particularly as the Bitcoin-purchase news is described as stale or unverified. A break of the $151.3–$153.2 support area would strengthen the path toward the 4-hour SMA20 near $147.51, though that shelf may first slow declines. The broader equity regime is unconfirmed and neutral, and an upcoming FOMC meeting is cited as event risk; however, RSI is not overbought on the 4-hour timeframe, there is no confirmed breakdown, and the stock’s relative strength or continued Bitcoin-related buying could sustain the rally. The main uncertainty is whether resistance rejects price and support gives way, or whether buyers establish acceptance above the ceiling.