TradeHorde's multi-model system has generated 12 signals on SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), with transparent outcome tracking on every resolved setup.
Latest forecast: Bullish at 63% conviction based on consensus across 3 frontier models.
Track record on SPY: 67% win rate across 12 resolved signals with an average R-multiple of +1.2.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust • NYSE
All three models agree that SPY is in a confirmed bullish regime driven by a softer-than-expected June CPI (3.5% vs 3.8%) and reduced Fed rate-hike probabilities. The consensus targets a move toward the $760.40 all-time high, supported by record ETF inflows, strong bank earnings, and a bullish 1h MACD zero-line crossover. Analysts suggest the optimal entry is a pullback to the $752.70 support zone/SMA20 cluster before the uptrend resumes, provided Fed Chair Warsh's testimony remains non-hawkish.
All three models warn that SPY is currently overextended against critical resistance at $755.42-$756.04, with the 30-minute RSI (66.95) and price action above the upper Bollinger Band signaling near-term exhaustion. The models highlight significant downside risk toward $751.13 or $747.00 due to depressed volume (z-score -2.24) and a narrow, tech-led rally that is vulnerable to profit-taking. Furthermore, the models flag potential volatility and event risk from Day 2 of Fed Chair Warsh's testimony, which could trigger a mean-reversion if hawkish sentiment surprises the market.
| Symbol | Dir | Result | Return | R | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY | Long | Loss | -0.3% | -1.0R | 2d ago |
SPY | Long | Win | +0.7% | +1.8R | 11d ago |
SPY | Long | Loss | -1.9% | -1.0R | 24d ago |
SPY | Short | Win | +0.6% | +1.8R | 42d ago |
SPY | Short | Loss | -0.3% | -0.5R | 57d ago |
SPY | Short | Win | +1.0% | +2.7R | 66d ago |
SPY | Long | Win | +0.5% | +1.7R | 91d ago |
SPY | Short | Loss | -0.4% | -0.5R | 108d ago |
SPY | Short | Win | +1.4% | +1.7R | 119d ago |
SPY | Short | Win | +1.7% | +2.0R | 161d ago |