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BREAKEVEN+4.6%+1.6R|LONGLow Conviction|$1296.60 → $1356.8028dView in Radar →
INF

INFY

NSEReanalysis
Completed
Swing3 Models · Review Snapshot: Apr 1, 2026, 5:45 AM
Claude Sonnet 4.6, GPT-5.4 +1
HOLD CONSENSUS
1/3 EXIT votes — no EXIT supermajority
CS4.6 HoldGPT5.4 ExitDSR1 Hold
Trigger
Research Desk — India rupee stress still favors exporters while domestic financials lose leadership
Conviction 46
Key Disagreements
  • •GPT-5.4 argues EXIT because Close the trade because the time horizon has expired, momentum remains weak under heavy resistance, and the thesis now relies on a relative FX tailwind that has not produced the needed absolute upside.
Hold Case
DeepSeek R151%
Claude Sonnet 4.632%

Thesis broadens from simple rupee FX translation to a relative-trade framework: structural rupee weakness (94.82) plus a +30.4% EPS beat and the Stratus AI/cloud acquisition position Infosys as a defensive exporter outperformer vs. domestic financials — hold while price remains above ₹1,258 stop and MACD histogram continues contracting toward bullish crossover.

Exit Case
GPT-5.458%

Close the trade because the time horizon has expired, momentum remains weak under heavy resistance, and the thesis now relies on a relative FX tailwind that has not produced the needed absolute upside.

What Could Go Wrong If We HOLD?
  • →RBI successfully stabilizes rupee through position caps before INFY reaches target, reducing export advantage and causing position to stall below resistance
  • →Close the trade because the time horizon has expired, momentum remains weak under heavy resistance, and the thesis now relies on a relative FX tailwind that has not produced the needed absolute upside.

Individual Model Review

Claude Sonnet 4.6
HOLD32% confidence
Analysis Outcome
HOLD
32% confidence

Thesis broadens from simple rupee FX translation to a relative-trade framework: structural rupee weakness (94.82) plus a +30.4% EPS beat and the Stratus AI/cloud acquisition position Infosys as a defensive exporter outperformer vs. domestic financials — hold while price remains above ₹1,258 stop and MACD histogram continues contracting toward bullish crossover.

Hold/Exit CompetitionHold 32% vs Exit 28%Winner: HOLD
Hold 32%Δ 4%Exit 28%
Hold Case32%

Thesis broadens from simple rupee FX translation to a relative-trade framework: structural rupee weakness (94.82) plus a +30.4% EPS beat and the Stratus AI/cloud acquisition position Infosys as a defensive exporter outperformer vs. domestic financials — hold while price remains above ₹1,258 stop and MACD histogram continues contracting toward bullish crossover.

▼ Click to expand
Exit Case28%
Claude-Sonnet-4.6Cost: $$
GPT-5.4
EXIT58% confidence
Analysis Outcome
EXIT
58% confidence

Exit case stronger on reanalysis.

Close the trade because the time horizon has expired, momentum remains weak under heavy resistance, and the thesis now relies on a relative FX tailwind that has not produced the needed absolute upside.

Hold/Exit CompetitionExit 58% vs Hold 56%Winner: EXIT
Exit 58%Δ 2%Hold 56%
Exit Case58%

Close the trade because the time horizon has expired, momentum remains weak under heavy resistance, and the thesis now relies on a relative FX tailwind that has not produced the needed absolute upside.

▼ Click to expand
Hold Case56%
GPT-5.4Cost: $$
DeepSeek R1
HOLD51% confidence
Analysis Outcome
HOLD
51% confidence

Hold case remains stronger on reanalysis.

Hold/Exit CompetitionHold 51% vs Exit 0%Winner: HOLD
Hold 51%Δ 51%Exit 0%
Hold Case51%
Exit Case—
DeepSeek-R1Cost: $$

Run Summary

Research desk report triggered reanalysis on INFY. Verdict: HOLD (1/3 EXIT). Conviction: 46.