Market Regime

Two-dimensional AI regime detection: direction + character. Scoring starts from the latest call.

Current Call
Sun, Feb 22, 2026 at 02:29 AM
BullCalmMedium Risk62%
VIX Contango

Direction Confidence

day79%
swing62%
position62%

Key Signals

VIX: COMPLACENT (0.522)VIX velocity 3d: +0.2% (NORMAL)Vol gap: OVERPRICED (implied 1.79% vs realized 0.95%)Credit 5d: 0.08%

Reasoning

SPY shows bullish momentum with a +0.46% 5-day return. VIX term structure is complacent (79% historically accurate) — consistent with trend continuation. Credit conditions are neutral. Yen is stable, no strong flight-to-safety signal. Market breadth is steady.

Strategy

Trend-following with pullback entries

PendingScored against next-day market data

Regime scoring starts from the latest call. Track record will appear here as predictions are resolved.