No signal was created. Models could not agree on a directional bias.

TRI

TSXMIXED SIGNALS
Swing · Multi-day confirmation6 Models · Analysis Snapshot: Feb 27, 2026, 3:07 PM · Valid for ~12h
CompletedRe-run
MIXED SIGNALS
4 models· Split decision
1 Long1 Short2 Contested
Key Disagreements
  • Split opinion: 1 model(s) LONG vs 1 model(s) SHORT
  • DeepSeek-R1(63% LONG): "TRI shows technical strength with price +13% above SMAs and RSI 63.8 trending upward, positioned near resistance at 139.9 with potential breakout. Fundamentally stable with 20% net margins, low debt, and consistent earnings beats. TSX market outperformance provides regional tailwinds despite broader bearish regime."
BULL (1)
BEAR (1)
0%2 skip0%
Bull Case(3 models)
DeepSeek-R10%

TRI shows technical strength with price +13% above SMAs and RSI 63.8 trending upward, positioned near resistance at 139.9 with potential breakout. Fundamentally stable with 20% net margins, low debt, and consistent earnings beats. TSX market outperformance provides regional tailwinds despite broader bearish regime.

Claude-Opus-4.5

TRI has bounced sharply +25% off its 52-week low at C $109.20 (hit Feb 26) , demonstrating strong buyer interest at this key support level. The stock shows bullish momentum with RSI at 63.8 (rising) and is trading only 2.4% below resistance at C $139.90, suggesting a potential breakout. Multiple analyst upgrades support the long case: Royal Bank of Canada upgraded to "Moderate Buy" and Canaccord Genuity to "Strong Buy, " with consensus price targets ranging from C $156-182 — representing 15-33% upside from current levels. The company maintains solid fundamentals with 5.2% YoY revenue growth, 2

GROK-4

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is showing bullish technical signals with price trading above both SMA20 and SMA50 at +13.1%, RSI at 63.8 and rising, indicating building momentum in a sideways trend that could break higher. The stock's low beta of 0.3 provides defensive qualities in a trending market regime, and TSX regional outperformance (+1.63% 5-day return) supports upside as Canada benefits from commodity strength. Fundamentals are solid with 20% profit margins, 12.4% ROE, and recent EPS beats, positioning TRI for appreciation amid no immediate catalysts that could trigger downside surprises.

Bear Case(3 models)
Gemini-3-Pro0%

TRI is trapped in a structural downtrend, currently trading 54% below its 52-week highs. The recent 25% rally from $109 lows to ~$136 represents a classic 'dead cat bounce' into stiff resistance near $140. Despite the drop, valuation remains unattractive at ~30x P/E and >8x P/S, leaving little margin for error. The broader 'trending' market regime signals risk-off behavior, favoring the fading of relief rallies in overpriced equities. The active 'Death Cross' (SMA20 < SMA50) confirms the dominant bearish momentum.

Claude-Opus-4.5

TRI presents a compelling short opportunity following a massive 54% collapse from its 52-week high of C $299.24. The recent bounce appears to be a dead-cat bounce rather than a genuine reversal. Key bearish signals: (1) Most recent earnings on Feb 5 MISSED estimates by 24.5% (C $0.74 actual vs C $0.98 expected) , signaling fundamental deterioration; (2) Analysts have slashed price targets dramatically - BMO cut from C $275 to C $165, TD Securities cut from C $285 to C $175 - indicating eroding confidence; (3) Price is trading in a low-volume zone (current C $136.51 between value area high of C

GROK-4

TRI is trading near resistance at 139.90 after a significant decline from its 52-week high of 299.24, representing a -54.38% drop, suggesting overvaluation and potential for further downside in a bearish market regime. The high P/E ratio of 30.34 combined with a low current ratio of 0.642 indicates liquidity concerns and vulnerability to market downturns, especially with recent EPS misses like the February 2026 shortfall of -24.49%. The overall market transition to a bearish trending character with 83% confidence, coupled with upcoming high-impact economic events on February 27, 2026, could pr

What Would Create an Edge
  • A daily close above $148.00 would invalidate the bearish thesis, clearing the Upper Bollinger Band and confirming a structural trend reversal.
  • Daily close below 130.00 (4.8% downside) breaking SMA50 support and reversing trend structure
DeepSeek R1Deep
Analysis Outcome
LONG
0.51R·63% confidence
Entry
C$136.50
Target
C$139.80
Stop
C$130.00

TRI shows technical strength with price +13% above SMAs and RSI 63.8 trending upward, positioned near resistance at 139.9 with potential breakout. Fundamentally stable with 20% net margins, low debt, and consistent earnings beats. TSX market outperformance provides regional tailwinds despite broader bearish regime.

Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BULL
Bull 63%Δ 1%Bear 62%
Bull Case

TRI shows technical strength with price +13% above SMAs and RSI 63.8 trending upward, positioned near resistance at 139.9 with potential breakout. Fundamentally stable with 20% net margins, low debt, and consistent earnings beats. TSX market outperformance provides regional tailwinds despite broader bearish regime.

Bear Case

Extended valuation (P/E 30.3, P/S 8.1) meets technical resistance at $139.9 (2.4% upside). Recent earnings miss (-24% EPS surprise) and lowered analyst targets signal fundamental deterioration. Bearish market regime with risk-off rotation favors profit-taking in overvalued defensive names.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BULL case won (63% vs 62%).

3m 03s18 tools
Claude Opus 4.5Deep
Analysis Outcome
NO TRADE0% edge
BULL
58%
BEAR
58%

Bull and bear cases balanced — no clear edge

Bull/Bear CompetitionBALANCED
Bull 58%Δ 0%Bear 58%
Bull Case

TRI has bounced sharply +25% off its 52-week low at C $109.20 (hit Feb 26) , demonstrating strong buyer interest at this key support level. The stock shows bullish momentum with RSI at 63.8 (rising) and is trading only 2.4% below resistance at C $139.90, suggesting a potential breakout. Multiple analyst upgrades support the long case: Royal Bank of Canada upgraded to "Moderate Buy" and Canaccord Genuity to "Strong Buy, " with consensus price targets ranging from C $156-182 — representing 15-33% upside from current levels. The company maintains solid fundamentals with 5.2% YoY revenue growth, 20% profit margins, and a defensive low beta of 0.296 which provides downside protection in the current bearish macro environment. Thomson Reuters operates in the essential legal/tax/compliance software space with sticky enterprise customers, creating a defensive moat. The TSX is currently outperforming the US market (+1.63% 5d divergence) , providing regional tailwind for Canadian equities.

Bear Case

TRI presents a compelling short opportunity following a massive 54% collapse from its 52-week high of C $299.24. The recent bounce appears to be a dead-cat bounce rather than a genuine reversal. Key bearish signals: (1) Most recent earnings on Feb 5 MISSED estimates by 24.5% (C $0.74 actual vs C $0.98 expected) , signaling fundamental deterioration; (2) Analysts have slashed price targets dramatically - BMO cut from C $275 to C $165, TD Securities cut from C $285 to C $175 - indicating eroding confidence; (3) Price is trading in a low-volume zone (current C $136.51 between value area high of C $169 and POC at C $117.75) , suggesting weak conviction in this bounce; (4) SMA20 < SMA50 confirms bearish trend structure; (5) Valuation remains stretched with P/E at 30.3x and P/S at 8.1x for a specialty business services company with only 5.2% revenue growth; (6) Debt-to-equity of 19.6 and current ratio of 0.642 show concerning leverage and liquidity metrics; (7) Market regime is bearish/trending with flight-to-safety dynamics, which despite TRI's low beta creates headwinds for risk assets.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition CONTESTED: BULL case (58%) vs BEAR case (58%) - confidence delta (0%) below threshold. Trade skipped due to insufficient conviction.

2m 08s34 tools
Gemini 3 ProDeep
Analysis Outcome
SHORT
2.39R·62% confidence
Entry
C$136.50
Target
C$110.00
Stop
C$147.60

Shorting the relief rally into resistance at $140. The structural downtrend and rich valuation outweigh the short-term bounce.

Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BEAR
Bear 62%Δ 2%Bull 60%
Bear Case

TRI is trapped in a structural downtrend, currently trading 54% below its 52-week highs. The recent 25% rally from $109 lows to ~$136 represents a classic 'dead cat bounce' into stiff resistance near $140. Despite the drop, valuation remains unattractive at ~30x P/E and >8x P/S, leaving little margin for error. The broader 'trending' market regime signals risk-off behavior, favoring the fading of relief rallies in overpriced equities. The active 'Death Cross' (SMA20 < SMA50) confirms the dominant bearish momentum.

Bull Case

TRI has staged a V-shaped recovery from a capitulation low of C$109, reclaiming both its SMA20 and SMA50 (C$120.74) in a decisive show of strength. The TSX is currently outperforming US markets, providing a favorable regional tailwind for this defensive compounder. With analysts maintaining targets of C$165+ despite cuts, and an upcoming presentation at the Scotiabank TMT conference (March 3) likely to highlight its $600M buyback and tech roadmap, the stock is primed for a mean-reversion move toward C$160.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BEAR case won (62% vs 60%).

2m 17s20 tools
Grok-4Balanced
Analysis Outcome
NO TRADE0% edge
BULL
62%
BEAR
62%

Bull and bear cases balanced — no clear edge

Bull/Bear CompetitionBALANCED
Bull 62%Δ 0%Bear 62%
Bull Case

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is showing bullish technical signals with price trading above both SMA20 and SMA50 at +13.1%, RSI at 63.8 and rising, indicating building momentum in a sideways trend that could break higher. The stock's low beta of 0.3 provides defensive qualities in a trending market regime, and TSX regional outperformance (+1.63% 5-day return) supports upside as Canada benefits from commodity strength. Fundamentals are solid with 20% profit margins, 12.4% ROE, and recent EPS beats, positioning TRI for appreciation amid no immediate catalysts that could trigger downside surprises.

Bear Case

TRI is trading near resistance at 139.90 after a significant decline from its 52-week high of 299.24, representing a -54.38% drop, suggesting overvaluation and potential for further downside in a bearish market regime. The high P/E ratio of 30.34 combined with a low current ratio of 0.642 indicates liquidity concerns and vulnerability to market downturns, especially with recent EPS misses like the February 2026 shortfall of -24.49%. The overall market transition to a bearish trending character with 83% confidence, coupled with upcoming high-impact economic events on February 27, 2026, could pressure industrials stocks like TRI, confirming a short setup near resistance with neutral technical signals and sideways trend.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition CONTESTED: BULL case (62%) vs BEAR case (62%) - confidence delta (0%) below threshold. Trade skipped due to insufficient conviction.

3m 37s20 tools
Qwen3 235BBalanced
Analysis Outcome
LONG
1.84R·72% confidence
Entry
C$136.50
Target
C$150.10
Stop
C$129.10

Thomson Reuters (TRI) presents a compelling long opportunity driven by a major AI catalyst, strong technical momentum, and positive analyst sentiment. The company recently announced that its AI assistant, Co Counsel, has surpassed one million users globally, validating its AI monetization strategy and reversing prior disruption fears. Technically, the stock is trading near resistance at $139.90 with RSI at 63.8 and rising, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upcoming presentation at the Scotiabank TMT Conference on March 3rd provides a near-term catalyst for further upside, as executives are expected to detail their AI roadmap. Volume has surged, confirming institutional interest, and the average analyst price target of $186.00 implies significant upside potential.

Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BULL
Bull 72%Δ 9%Bear 63%
Bull Case

Thomson Reuters (TRI) presents a compelling long opportunity driven by a major AI catalyst, strong technical momentum, and positive analyst sentiment. The company recently announced that its AI assistant, Co Counsel, has surpassed one million users globally, validating its AI monetization strategy and reversing prior disruption fears. Technically, the stock is trading near resistance at $139.90 with RSI at 63.8 and rising, indicating strong bullish momentum. The upcoming presentation at the Scotiabank TMT Conference on March 3rd provides a near-term catalyst for further upside, as executives are expected to detail their AI roadmap. Volume has surged, confirming institutional interest, and the average analyst price target of $186.00 implies significant upside potential.

Bear Case

TRI is attempting to rally near its daily resistance at $139.90 after a 9% bounce from a 52-week low of $109.20, but this move lacks fundamental conviction and faces strong technical headwinds. The stock is trading sharply below its 52-week high of $299.24, down 54.4% from that peak, with deteriorating earnings momentum as evidenced by a 24.5% EPS miss in the February 5th quarter. Despite the short-term bounce, volume profile shows the current price is far from high-volume nodes, with the point of control at $117.75 indicating stronger support and institutional interest at much lower levels, suggesting this rally is likely a weak countertrend move in a larger downtrend.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BULL case won (72% vs 63%).

1m 38s37 tools
Kimi-K2-Thinking
Analysis Outcome
LONG
2.99R·65% confidence
Entry
C$136.51
Target
C$150.00
Stop
C$132.00

TRI has staged a powerful technical reversal from its 52-week low of $109.20, surging 10.4% on February 24 with volume spiking to 2.86M shares (113% above average) , indicating institutional accumulation. The stock now trades at $136.51 with RSI at 63.8 and rising, positioned above both SMA20 and SMA50 with momentum building. Fundamentally, Thomson Reuters is a high-quality defensive business with 20% profit margins, subscription-based recurring revenue, and a low 0.296 beta that attracts capital during risk-off periods. An immediate catalyst exists with management presenting at the Scotiabank TMT Conference on March 3, providing a platform to showcase technology strategy and potentially re-accelerate sentiment. The forward P/E of 19.8x is attractive for this compounder, especially after the 54% decline from 52-week highs.

Bull/Bear CompetitionWinner: BULL
Bull 65%Δ 10%Bear 55%
Bull Case

TRI has staged a powerful technical reversal from its 52-week low of $109.20, surging 10.4% on February 24 with volume spiking to 2.86M shares (113% above average) , indicating institutional accumulation. The stock now trades at $136.51 with RSI at 63.8 and rising, positioned above both SMA20 and SMA50 with momentum building. Fundamentally, Thomson Reuters is a high-quality defensive business with 20% profit margins, subscription-based recurring revenue, and a low 0.296 beta that attracts capital during risk-off periods. An immediate catalyst exists with management presenting at the Scotiabank TMT Conference on March 3, providing a platform to showcase technology strategy and potentially re-accelerate sentiment. The forward P/E of 19.8x is attractive for this compounder, especially after the 54% decline from 52-week highs.

Bear Case

TRI faces overwhelming technical resistance at $139.90 after a classic dead cat bounce from $109.20 lows, with price still down 54% from 52-week highs. SMA20 below SMA50 confirms bearish momentum structure. Fundamentals are stretched with P/E of 30x, P/S of 8x, and dangerous debt-to-equity ratio of 19.6x creating leverage risk. Recent earnings disappointed with significant analyst target cuts averaging 35% reductions (BMO: C$275→C$165, TD: C$285→C$175). Volume profile shows point of control at $117.75, suggesting gravitational pull toward lower prices. Bearish trending market regime with risk-off rotation provides macro headwind.

Analysis Notes

Thesis Competition: BULL case won (65% vs 55%).

5m 52s29 tools