Research desk report triggered reanalysis on CCO. Verdict: HOLD (1/2 EXIT). Conviction: 55.
56% base +12 (Research desk fundamental upgrade) -10 (Bearish market regime) -5 (Technical breakdown) -5 (Oil shock reversal risk) = 48%
56% base +18 (Stop imminent - 19¢ cushion, technical breakdown) +10 (Bearish trending regime + TSX weakness -1.47%) -6 (India deal failed to support, analysts cut targets) -10 (Hormuz energy shock could reverse uranium selloff) = 68%