All three models warn of a confirmed bearish regime and daily downtrend, with MSFT trading below its SMA20 ($386.89) and SMA50 ($399.18) while RSI remains weak at 44.7. The consensus points to asymmetric downside risk on July 29, where projected $40B+ quarterly capex is expected to compress operating margins from 46.3% to ~44%, potentially leading to a 'sell-the-news' event even on in-line Azure results. Models suggest selling into the $384.69–$387.53 resistance cluster, targeting a breakdown toward the $375 support shelf amid a broader tech-led risk-off environment.