TradeHorde's multi-model system has generated 11 signals on Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), with transparent outcome tracking on every resolved setup.
Latest forecast: Bearish at 67% conviction based on consensus across 3 frontier models.
Track record on TSLA: 55% win rate across 11 resolved signals with an average R-multiple of +0.7.
Tesla, Inc. • NASDAQ
TSLA’s rebound could fail near $384.5–386 resistance, especially if the October 21 Q3 report disappoints on margins or cash conversion. The short case points to a roughly 328 trailing and 164 forward P/E, negative Q2 free cash flow and a substantial Q2 EPS miss, leaving elevated expectations vulnerable to repricing. A failed reclaim could bring a return toward the $368 area, with deeper weakness opening a path toward the mid-$350s; the bearish view is also supported by recent relative weakness versus the sector proxy and short-term signs of exhaustion. However, the desk’s bearish view is an unverified hypothesis: the earnings gap makes direction uncertain, and the unconfirmed bullish market-regime lean could support risk assets.
TSLA’s recovery from recent lows could extend if it holds the $367–370 support cluster and clears resistance around $384.5–386. The stock is above its daily 20- and 50-day averages, with improving momentum; falling long-term yields, a softer dollar and a mildly bullish—but unconfirmed—equity-regime lean offer some support. The key catalyst is the October 21 Q3 report: margin stabilization, positive free cash flow or reassuring guidance could support a move toward the weekly 50-day average near $395–400, while solid delivery figures and a large commercial-vehicle order provide additional context for the recovery case. The central uncertainty is the binary earnings outcome and whether buyers can sustain a breakout; TSLA has also recently lagged its sector proxy, and resistance is close.
| Symbol | Dir | Result | Return | R | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSLA | Short | Loss | -1.6% | -1.0R | 19d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -3.6% | -1.0R | 29d ago |
TSLA | Long | Win | +9.4% | +2.6R | 69d ago |
TSLA | Long | Win | +7.3% | +1.8R | 69d ago |
TSLA | Short | Win | +4.8% | +1.7R | 93d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -2.3% | -1.0R | 103d ago |
TSLA | Short | Win | +7.6% | +3.7R | 138d ago |
TSLA | Short | Win | +6.9% | +2.5R | 156d ago |
TSLA | Long | Win | +2.7% | +1.7R | 168d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -2.2% | -0.5R | 173d ago |