TradeHorde's multi-model system has generated 6 signals on Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), with transparent outcome tracking on every resolved setup.
Latest forecast: Bearish at 60% conviction based on consensus across 3 frontier models.
Track record on TSLA: 67% win rate across 6 resolved signals with an average R-multiple of +1.2.
Tesla, Inc. • NASDAQ
All three models agree that TSLA is positioned for a mean-reversion bounce as it defends a critical support cluster near $385, supported by the convergence of the 4h lower Bollinger Band and the 1-day SMA. The primary catalyst is the regulatory approval of FSD in Belgium, which, combined with Oppenheimer's positive outlook on energy storage and 'Physical AI,' provides fundamental tailwinds within a broader bullish market regime. Analysts expect a push through the $395 resistance toward the $421-$425 high-volume nodes over a 1-3 week timeframe as oversold technicals (RSI/MACD) begin to normalize.
All three models highlight that TSLA remains structurally broken, trading below its 20 and 50-day SMAs with the recent FSD-driven pre-market pop already fading into overhead supply. The bear case is reinforced by fundamental gravity, including a 370.7 P/E ratio, declining 3.9% margins, and negative free cash flow projections stemming from a $25B CapEx plan. If the $384.61 support shelf fails, models anticipate a rapid decline through a low-volume pocket toward the $370.30 zone, driven by persistent selling pressure and a lack of institutional conviction at current levels.
| Symbol | Dir | Result | Return | R | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSLA | Short | Win | +7.6% | +3.7R | 10d ago |
TSLA | Short | Win | +6.9% | +2.5R | 28d ago |
TSLA | Long | Win | +2.7% | +1.7R | 40d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -2.2% | -0.5R | 45d ago |
TSLA | Short | WinProtected | +3.6% | +0.5R | 96d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -2.8% | -0.6R | 110d ago |
TSLA | Short | Loss | -4.1% | -1.0R | 110d ago |